Energy, ecology and regionsHistorical study2025

2025: energy monitoring also measures the remaining distance

Published on 15 December 2025, the seventh Energy Strategy 2050 monitoring report mainly describes the position at the end of 2024. This 2026 retrospective examines its warning: transformation is advancing, but too slowly for some targets. Publication year, observation period and future objective must remain distinct.

Period studied
2025
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2025: energy monitoring also measures the remaining distanceHTML · English
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2024: observation · 2025: publication · 2035: target · Level: 8,301 GWh · Addition: 1,113 GWh · Required pace: about 2,400 GWh/year
For renewables excluding hydropower, the 2024 increase was below the average pace identified by SFOE for 2035; these are not 2025 production figures.

The report year is not always the data year

Energy statistics require collection, checking and consolidation. A 2025 report could therefore inform decisions that year using 2024 observations. This lag is normal if visible. Its figures are not automatically measured output for the whole of 2025.

The same caution applies to later measures. The energy office notes that the secure electricity supply law entered into force in 2025. Results from 2024 cannot demonstrate its effects. They provide a starting point for subsequent assessment.

This distinction prevents attributing earlier progress to a new reform or declaring it ineffective before its instruments can operate. Evaluation requires an implementation timetable and corresponding observations.

More output, insufficient pace

For 2024, the office records 8,301 gigawatt-hours of renewable electricity excluding hydropower, a net annual increase of 1,113 GWh. The boundary matters. This is neither all renewable generation nor all Swiss electricity production.

The legal target for this category is 35,000 GWh in 2035. The office identifies a required average increase of about 2,400 GWh annually. Real progress and insufficient pace can therefore coexist. The warning does not erase construction already completed, and that construction does not invalidate the warning.

The required average is not a certain forecast. Permissions, connections and large projects can produce uneven annual results. The figure identifies a trajectory requirement, to be compared with concrete projects and their prospects of entering service.

Per-person consumption does not describe everything

Monitoring also follows energy and electricity consumption per person with weather adjustment. This separates structural change from a milder or colder year. Actual weather remains important for networks and households; adjustment answers another statistical question.

Per-person reductions and total demand also differ. Population and uses change. Replacing combustion engines or fossil heating with electric solutions can reduce final energy while increasing electricity requirements. Higher electricity demand is therefore not automatically an efficiency failure.

A favourable national indicator does not prove that every household has efficient equipment or affordable bills. Buildings, investment capacity and housing circumstances constrain action. Savings policy must address those constraints rather than merely publishing an average target.

Winter and networks require separate tests

Additional annual energy does not alone settle seasonal availability. Production timing, storage, demand and transport capacity all matter. Monitoring should connect these without collapsing them into one score. A strong indicator does not automatically offset a critical weakness elsewhere.

For hydropower, expected average generation differs from actual output in a particular year. Hydrological conditions change the latter. Identical units do not make differently defined series directly comparable.

Networks, installation skills and supply chains also determine whether permission becomes a working plant. Useful monitoring locates delays between finance, procedure, connection and physical capacity. Calling only for acceleration cannot replace that diagnosis.

From indicators to correction

For the PCP, monitoring should change action when the pace falls short: coordinate investment, retain skills and expose choices. It loses value as promotion or a punitive ranking without corrective resources.

Every warning needs a connection to an accountable decision and subsequent verification. Comparable series, explained revisions and visible social effects form part of the task. The 2025 report is not a final verdict on energy’s future. It provides a basis for organising remaining work with dated objectives and adequate resources.

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